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Test a strategy on real prices

A test runs your rules on past Binance prices and shows what would have happened. It can’t tell you what will happen next. Its job is to show how a rule behaves.

Run a test

Open Bots, then Historical testing, and answer three questions.

  1. Which strategy. Each card shows that strategy’s last result.
  2. Which period. Use a preset or pick dates on the timeline.
  3. How much. The starting balance. Fees and slippage are included and shown on one line.

Choose Run test. Results collect beside the form, and each one opens a full report.

Read the report in this order

  1. Compared with holding. The report draws your rule next to simply holding the coin. A rule can make money and still do worse than doing nothing.
  2. The worst drop. The furthest the balance fell from a high. Ask yourself whether you’d have kept the bot running through it.
  3. The number of trades. A handful of trades proves very little. Tradenos warns you when a sample is small.
  4. Trades won. A high share of wins can still lose money if the losses are bigger than the wins.
  5. Fees. Every trade pays them twice. A rule that trades many times a week needs a much bigger edge.

Three ways a test can fool you

  • Too short a period. A rule tested only on a rising market has never seen a fall.
  • Too much tuning. If you adjust the numbers until the past looks perfect, you’ve fitted the past. Round numbers that work on several coins are safer.
  • Ignoring costs. A result without fees and slippage will look better than real trading.

What your plan includes

Newcomer Learner Strategist Trader Operator
Tests a month 10 50 300 1,000 3,000
History you can test on 6 months 1 year 3 years Full Full

When a test looks reasonable, run the bot in Practice before you use real money.

Next guideGo from Practice to live

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